The USA Census Bureau released projections through 2050, based on rates for births, deaths and immigration. The US’ 305 million population is expected to grow to 400 million in 2039 and 439 million in 2050.
By 2050, whites will make up 46 percent of the population and blacks will make up 15 percent, a relatively small increase from today. Hispanic will account for 30 percent in 2050, double their current share. Asians, which make up about 5 percent of the population, are projected to increase to 9 percent by 2050. Jews's numbers have been falling for generations, so they will be less than 1% of the poplation.
Guessedworker, a blogger and rightist ideologue, reacts:
Minority status itself is something that has not really been given sufficient thought.I presume he has Zimbabwe and South Africa before his eyes, but the US will never be South Africa. Maybe a very rich Mexico or Brazil. The trend is toward integration and mixing, not towards hardening of racial castes. The American Presidential family shows the way, and they are already "Mexican" Bushes. The film "Giant" with James Dean, which dealt with Gringo-Mexican intermarriage, was a long time ago, and America does not care anymore.
Some antisemitic commenters of GW's article say American Jews conceived this demographic change in 1880 to take over the country, and they wonder how "they pulled it off". I have yet to digest his article, but its tone does not ring well for American Jews. Should America go the way of a racially polarized society, many Jews will find themselves looking for another place to live. Some may even choose Israel. Because being a minority in an ethnically polarized country is not a good place to be, but being a minority within a minority is even less attractive.