Sunday, May 31, 2009
Our Future has Improved
Change. Something dramatic has happened to the world’s birthrates. Defying predictions of demographic decline, northern Europeans have started having more babies. Apparently, all demographic scenarios we know are false, and the future is not what we used to imagine. For one thing, the growth and renewed domination by European peoples is gathering steam. China and India, two menacing giants, are due to fade into their past colonial insignificance.
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5 comments:
Colonial insignificance? Lol, no. Although Israelis should probably rejoice b/c Europeans/Americans are the only non-Jews that care about Israel.
Salut!
This "crisis: will it all change and coming "apocalypse"!
Interesting would be the statistics by ethnic,and how large part are bi-ethnic children.....
Also the author says that the gap between Muslim and Christian(white) women has closed-slightly. Given the paucity of data collected by race in Europe even tht claim is dubious. Read this article by Richard Lynn on immigrants in the UK:
"No. of Children:
Chinese
1.3
Whites
1.6
Blacks
2.2
Indians
2.3
Pakistanis/Bangladeshis
5.0
Somalis
5.0"
http://www.vdare.com/lynn/090520_race_differences.htm
I have no first hand statistical information. Demographic tendencies do not change from one day to the other, but European governments are pouring much money into programs to make Europe "child friendly". And apparently it is starting to work.
Regarding Somalis in Europe, they must be first generation and very recent immigrants. Turks that have been living in Germany for two generations now have completely adopted German features.
There is much uncertainty in the numbers. Lets hope the best.
I would like to point out that claiming the current measure of births per woman is a synthetic statistic. The government takes the raw birth data such as births per 1,000 or births per 1k women of childbearing age and calculates how many children a women alive at that time can expect to have over her lifetime. These calculations can be off, but otherwise they should be accurate.
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