Friday, June 13, 2014
Solving Demographic Problems
The "Social Media" reporting (Source) on the Mosul population fleeing in panic illustrates and reminds us that large population movements are not only feasible but quite easy to carry out. I am sure that millions are watching the fall of Mosul and the panicked flight of the civilian population, but are they extracting executive conclusions from it? I hope those out there on the djablot (hills) of Yehuda, this Shabbath evening (while a desperate manhunt is under way) do learn something.
Lesson Number One: Never Despair! Look at that city on the hill, where Abraham laid Sarah to rest. This night it is still full but tomorrow may be empty. How? Learn from the enemy: ISIS in Mosul, a city of two million.
(1) A handful of fellows rised a black flag and started policing "infidels". Who is a sinner, an infidel? Everybody was suspect, creating a vague, ominous shade of anxiety.
(2) They posted sanguinary pics of beheadings, shootings, corpses on the street, etc. I dont know if those psychowar messages were staged to create impression, or they were real. There have been no mass executions but the frightening possibility has been planted in the minds of the Mosul-men, designated refugees.
(3) They dressed up in theatrical bad-man uniforms, black with face hidden by towels, with many fake explosives (no one walks with a suicide belt 24 hs a day) and holding ScFic movie weapons. Not regular land fighting firearms but exotic looking rocket propelled toys and impossibly heavy looking machine guns. Movie props only used by Kruger in the movie Elysium. To inspire fear, not to fight.
(4) And fear they generated, and when it had matured into quasi-panic, they mock-attacked with noise and smoke. A wide and well asphalted escape route was left carefully untended, making the walk to a nearby "safe heaven" secure and psychologically irresistible. The bridge over the Tigris to the Kurdish-held part of the city was free of menaces; may be even free transport was arranged to facilitate the flight.
(5) When everything works as planned, no actual blood has to be shed. The mass flight of Arab populations is a constant, recurring phenomenon. It happened to the amazed fighters of the Haganah in 1948 (when entered the empty streets of Haifa), recently to most of Syria (2 million refugees) and now Mosul, Iraq.
I wonder if some young fellow under Hebron has noticed these things. I know I am not the only learning engineer in the land, only - by far - the oldest one.